Thursday, February 28, 2008 4:34:00 PM
Chevy Chase Development Dropped

Monument Realty calls off Montgomery County project

Washington Business Journal - by Erin Killian Staff Reporter

Although Monument Realty has decided to scrap its plan to buy up 60-home neighborhood near downtown Bethesda, a letter sent to the homeowners in the Sacks neighborhood leaves the door open for a future redevelopment.

The developer said it would stay in touch with the homeowners in the neighborhood.

"I do know that we would still be interested in pursuing this transaction if the situation changes in the future," Monument Realty principal Jeffrey Neal wrote in the Feb. 22 letter. "We would love to participate in a redevelopment if one becomes likely."

The situation Neal refers to is the current real estate market, a lack of support from Montgomery County officials and the fact that 21 homeowners did not want to sell their homes despite the $2 million price.

The company had contracts in hand to buy 39 townhouses, but it wasn't enough to "pursue a meaningful 'smart growth' redevelopment of the neighborhood," the letter said.

The contracts required follow-through by Feb. 25 for them to be "valid," according to the letter. They have since expired.

Monument worked for nearly a year to get all of the homeowners to sign on so it could build high rises that would have included luxury apartments, stores and restaurants on the 12 acres that make up the neighborhood in Chevy Chase.

Some neighbors reacted favorably and others balked at giving up their homes near the Bethesda Metro station.

Montgomery County officials also previously expressed reservations supporting high-density development, according to Monument.

With lack of support from the county, not enough sellers and the weak real estate market, Monument pulled the plug.

"Both the capital markets and the residential real estate market are currently in disarray, and finding the type of financing that would be necessary for a transaction as large as this would be difficult," the letter said.

Although the plan has been terminated and Neal said he doubts "that any new offer will be forthcoming in the near term," he kept the option open for future discussion.

"Some changes that might persuade us to reopen this discussion might include: Some of the 21 who did not want to sell changing their minds and deciding to sell; the officials of Montgomery County deciding that they would support high density development at the Sacks neighborhood similar to what was approved for Lot 31; or a general resurgence of the local real estate market," Neal wrote.


Monday, February 25, 2008 2:20:26 PM
Existing Homes Sales
Existing Home Sales Hit 9-Year Low
Monday February 25, 1:47 pm ET
By Martin Crutsinger, AP Economics Writer
Existing Home Sales Fall to Lowest Level in Nearly a Decade

WASHINGTON (AP) -- Sales of existing homes fell to the lowest level in nearly a decade in January while the median price for a home dropped for the fifth straight month.

The National Association of Realtors said Monday that sales of single-family homes and condominiums dropped by 0.4 percent last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.89 million units, the slowest sales pace on records going back to 1999.

The median price of a home sold in January slid to $201,100, a drop of 4.6 percent from a year ago.

The drop in sales and the fifth consecutive decline in prices underscored the continued pressure facing housing, which is struggling to emerge from its worst slump in a quarter-century.

Sales were weak in all parts of the country except the Midwest, where sales posted an increase of 3.4 percent. Sales dropped by 3.6 percent in the Northeast, 2.1 percent in the West and 0.5 percent in the South.

Sales of both existing homes and new homes tumbled for a second straight year in 2007 as the housing industry was battered by a severe credit crunch that hit in August as major financial institutions began reporting multibillion-dollar losses on their investments in risky subprime mortgages, loans made to homeowners with weak credit.

The market for subprime mortgages has essentially dried up and other types of loans have become harder to obtain as lenders have tightened their standards.

Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the Realtors, said he believed the housing market may be on the verge of bottoming out with a rebound expected to start toward the end of this year.

"Subprime loans and other risky mortgage products have virtually disappeared from the marketplace, and over the past five months, this has been reflected in soft but fairly stable home sales," he said.

He said he expected demand to be bolstered in coming months by congressional action on the economic stimulus bill to raise the caps on the size of loans that can be backed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and the Federal Housing Administration.

But other economists were not as optimistic, noting that there is a huge overhang of unsold homes, which rose in January to a 10.3 months supply, meaning it would take that long to exhaust existing inventories. That is about double what the inventory level had been during the housing boom.

Analysts said this overabundance of unsold homes would continue to depress sales and prices for some time to come.

"Expect sales and prices to keep falling," said Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. economist for High Frequency Economics. "There is no end in sight for the housing disaster."

The slump in housing that began in 2006 followed a boom period in which sales and prices had soared to record levels. Many economists believe that the sharp turnaround has severely depressed economic growth and boosted the odds that the country could fall into a full-blown recession.



Wednesday, February 13, 2008 4:26:44 PM
The stimulus package
A look at economic stimulus package

By The Associated PressWed Feb 13, 3:11 AM ET

What's in the economic stimulus package being signed by President Bush.

_Tax rebates: At least $300 to almost everyone earning a paycheck, including low-income earners. Social Security recipients and disabled veterans making too little to pay income taxes would receive $300 checks as well, as long as they have at least $3,000 in income from various sources in 2007. People paying income taxes could receive rebates of up to $600 per individual and $1,200 for couples.

Families with children would receive an additional $300 per child. The full rebate would be limited to individuals earning $75,000 or less and couples with incomes of $150,000 or less, but a partial rebate would go to individuals earning up to $87,000 and couples earning up to $174,000. The caps are higher for people with children. Illegal immigrants are disqualified.

_Business tax write-offs: So-called bonus depreciation and more generous expensing rules to spur investment.

_Housing rescue: Allow more subprime mortgage holders to refinance into federally insured loans by raising the limit on Federal Housing Administration loans from $362,790 to as high as $729,750 in expensive areas. Increase the availability of mortgages by providing a one-year boost to the cap on loans Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac can buy, from $417,000 up to $729,750 in high-cost markets.


Monday, February 11, 2008 2:14:48 PM
Mortgage News

Some (Limited) Relief for the Mortgage-Stress

Posted on Thursday, January 24, 2008, 12:00AM

If you were busy with holiday travels and shopping in late December, you might have missed the fact that President Bush signed into law new legislation designed to help homeowners in deep mortgage trouble.

Forgiven, Not Forgotten

The most significant change under the new law is tax relief for people who sell their home for less than the remaining balance on their mortgage. Under the old law, even if the lender agreed to "forgive" the difference between the home sale price and the mortgage balance, the IRS wasn't so lenient. Tax regulations required lenders to report the amount that was forgiven as gross income received by the seller, in effect handing sellers a tax bill on income they never actually received.

For example, if you sold your home for $200,000 but your remaining mortgage balance was $225,000, you would've faced a tax bill on the $25,000 difference that your lender forgave.

With the new legislation, that tax has been eliminated until Jan. 1, 2010. So at the very least, if you're forced to sell a home you can no longer afford, and your lender agrees to forgive any unpaid mortgage balance, you no longer have to worry about a hefty tax bill as well. (This tax break is retroactive to Jan. 1, 2007.)

Other Good News

There was also a small bit of good news for homeowners with private mortgage insurance (PMI): Congress voted to extend the deductibility of PMI premiums until Jan. 1, 2010.

Only homeowners with adjusted gross incomes below $100,000 are eligible for a full deduction (it phases out between $100,000 and $110,000), and only mortgages for primary residences originated after 2006 are eligible. A PMI trade association estimates this tax break will result in an average $350 annual savings for homeowners eligible for the deduction.

The final bit of housing-related legislation provides tax relief for surviving spouses. If a surviving spouse opts to sell a primary residence within two years of the death of the other spouse, the surviving spouse is eligible for a $500,000 capital gains exclusion, rather than the old $250,000 exclusion that applies to individuals.

Hope for Some

In addition to these new laws, Washington is also busy pushing a voluntary relief program for the mortgage-stressed. The HOPE NOW alliance, which features Treasury secretary Henry Paulson as a lead flag bearer, announced a plan in early December that should be up and running soon. The plan allows some subprime mortgage holders to refinance, or lets them lock in their current interest rate for five more years -- a deal that has been dubbed a "tease freeze."

I know the issue of mortgage assistance isn't necessarily popular with many of you. A December 2007 CNN poll reported that 51 percent of respondents were in favor of "special treatment" for homeowners facing default and foreclosure, while 46 percent were against any special treatment. Those of you facing a big mortgage reset are obviously in the pro-HOPE NOW camp.

But before you breathe a sigh of relief, you need to understand the severe limitations of the plan. First, it's voluntary, meaning lenders are encouraged to offer the relief programs but not required. In fact, the plan comes not straight from the White House or Treasury Department, but from the American Securitization Forum, a consortium of money managers (read: hedge funds and Wall Street firms sitting with the distressed debt), as well as all sorts of mortgage lenders and servicers.

You don't need to be a rocket scientist to realize that the group's primary motivation is to help investors holding the mortgage debt, not the actual homeowners with the exploding mortgages. Moreover, the eligibility rules will make it tough for many people to quality for help. In fact, the Center for Responsible Lending estimates that the president's plan being pushed by Secretary Paulson could help less than 10 percent of subprime borrowers.

Five-Year-Freeze Facts

The full rundown of the HOPE NOW plan is available here, but here are the major points that determine if you're eligible for a five-year freeze:

If your mortgage has already reset, you're out of luck.

Only adjustable rate mortgages made between Jan. 1, 2005, and July 31, 2007, are eligible. (Option-only loans aren't eligible.)

You're also out of luck if your lender happened to keep the loan on his books rather than sell it into a securitization pool -- only securitized loans are eligible for this plan. Is there better proof that this effort isn't so much about bailing out homeowners as bailing out investors?

Finally, your interest rate must reset between Jan. 1, 2008, and July 31, 2010, and the new payment must be at least 10 percent higher than your current payment.

Meet all the above criteria and get your restructure rolling before the initial reset and you may be in luck. But keep reading:

Only subprime adjustable rate mortgages are eligible. What qualifies as subprime? Well, the quick test is that you must have a FICO credit score below 660. If you have a higher score, the lender will look at your income to determine eligibility.

The theory behind limiting the freeze option to homeowners with low FICO scores is that borrowers with higher FICO scores should be able to refinance. At least that's the theory for now; recently, Secretary Paulson has noted that more prime borrowers are falling behind on their mortgage payments.

You better be up to date with your mortgage payments. If you're currently more than 30 days behind on a payment, or if you've been 60 days late more than once in the past 12 months, you won't qualify for the 5-year freeze program.

A Potential Security Blanket

FHASecure, launched in the summer of 2007, is another government push to help the mortgage-stressed. The crux of this program is to make it easier for borrowers hit with resets to refinance.

The program is extended to homeowners whose mortgages reset between June 2005 and December 2009. To qualify, you must have been on-time with your payments prior to the reset, have at least 3 percent equity in your home, and have a solid employment history and the ability to afford mortgage payments on a refinanced loan. You can learn more here.


Monday, February 11, 2008 2:19:59 PM
Rebate Q&A

Beginning this spring, more than 130 million people will get rebate checks from the government in amounts from $300 to $1,200. Most households will get another $300 for each child under the economy relief bill passed by Congress. All must file an income tax return for 2007 to qualify.

Here are some questions and answers about who will get checks and for how much:

Q: Who gets a rebate?

A: Anyone who pays taxes or earns at least $3,000, including through Social Security or veterans' disability benefits. Singles with income of more than $75,000 and couples with more than $150,000 get only partial rebates.

Q: Who does not get a rebate?

A: People who earn less than $3,000, illegal immigrants, anyone who does not file a tax return, singles with incomes exceeding $87,000 and couples with incomes exceeding $174,000. The caps rise by $6,000 per child.

Q: What do you have to do to get the rebate?

A: Eligible people must file a 2007 tax return with a Social Security number for each person listed.

Q: How much is the rebate?

A: Single taxpayers get a rebate of at least $300, with couples receiving at least $600. The rebate will be equal to the taxes they paid, up to $600 for singles and $1,200 for couples, plus an additional $300 per child. That amount will be reduced by $50 for every $1,000 above the income limits of $75,000 for singles and $150,000 for couples.

People who earn too little to pay taxes but at least $3,000, including elderly people whose only income is from Social Security and veterans who live on disability payments, will get $300 if single or $600 if a couple.

Q: How are the rebates calculated?

A: Rebates are calculated on the basis of taxpayers' 2007 adjusted gross income, which includes salaries and wages, interest, dividends, capital gains, taxable pensions, royalties and farm or rental income. It does not count contributions to individual retirement accounts, 401(k) retirement plans, tax-free health savings accounts or student loan interest payments.

Rebates for low-income people who don't pay taxes, including the elderly and disabled veterans, will be a flat $300 if single and $600 for couples.

Q: When will the rebates arrive?

A: The Treasury Department says the IRS will begin sending out rebates in May.

Q: Will the rebates be deducted from taxpayers' regular tax refunds?

A: No, the rebates are on top of any tax refund.

Q: Where does the money come from?

A: The government will borrow the money to pay for the rebate, which is projected to cost about $117 billion over the next two years, adding to the federal deficit.


Friday, February 08, 2008 2:57:08 PM
Jumbo Loans
Jumbo' Loan Limit Increase May Not Stem Housing Market Decline

By David M. Levitt

Feb. 8 (Bloomberg) -- A congressional plan to let Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac insure larger mortgages may not be enough to reverse the U.S. housing market slide and may only help buyers in the most expensive markets, said Nishu Sood, a homebuilding analyst with Deutsche Bank Securities.

Congress yesterday passed a $152 billion economic stimulus package to head off a recession. The bill will allow Fannie and Freddie to raise the limit on purchasing ''jumbo'' loans to $729,750 from $417,000. Mortgages will be eligible if they were granted between Jan. 31, 2007 and Dec. 31, 2008.

''The headlines are more exciting than the potential for real impact,'' wrote Sood in a research note yesterday. ''Not only do the proposals have limited reach and a short timeframe, but also qualification standards could limit the number of buyers that could benefit.''

Mortgage lending will fall to an eight-year low this year as home prices continue to drop, the Mortgage Bankers Association projected last month. Record foreclosures, lax lending standards and speculation have contributed to the worst drop in home sales on record.

Supporters of higher loan limits said the plan will help struggling homeowners finance larger mortgages at lower interest rates, especially in expensive metropolitan areas such as New York, Washington and Southern California, where median home prices now exceed the $417,000 limit.

Markets Get Help

The bill would also allow the Federal Housing Administration to insure loans up to the same $729,750 limit. President George W. Bush said today he will sign the bill next week.

In only eight markets, including the metro areas of New York, Boston, Los Angeles-Orange County, and Washington, are prices high enough for the rise in loan limits to have an impact, according to Deutsche Bank.

The study found only marginal impact in Miami, Sacramento, California, and the California's Inland Empire region. It found no impact in Phoenix, Las Vegas, Chicago and most major Southern markets, including Houston and Dallas.

Less than 10 percent of the markets of the biggest publicly traded homebuilding companies, such as Toll Brothers Inc., NVR Inc. and Hovnanian Enterprises Inc., will benefit from increase, Deutsche Bank found.

Financing Woes

More than 80 percent of the property owners who sought to refinance through Prime Rate Funding in the last three months were unable to do so because their home's value had dropped, said David Pearl, the mortgage director of Prime Rate Funding Group Inc., a Timonium, Maryland-based brokerage that serves homeowners in Maryland, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Delaware.

''As far as refinances go, the issue is even with raising those loan limits, people are tapped out on their equity, so it may not make a difference from the point of getting out of their existing situations,'' said Kevin Henneman, branch manager of Prime Rate Funding.

Congress created Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to increase mortgage financing by buying loans from lenders. The publicly traded companies profit by holding mortgages and mortgage bonds as investments and by charging a fee to guarantee and package loans as securities. When defaults rise, they record losses.

Good Credit

Most people buying homes that require jumbo mortgages have good credit and can get those loans from commercial lenders, said Billy Keyserling, a broker with Coldwell Banker Platinum in Beaufort, South Carolina.

''Seventy percent of our market is people with a budget of $300,000 and below,'' he said. ''For every 30 of those houses we list, we have 70 buyers. Once we go over about $275,000 we are just knocking people out of the opportunity to buy a home.

''This is something that's going to help wealthy people and banks but it's not going to help working people.''

The federal change should help stimulate the mortgage market in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut, said Melissa Cohn, president of Manhattan Mortgage Co., which arranges home loans in those states.

''In Manhattan where the average price is $1.3 million, it's not going to have a tremendous impact, but in the outer boroughs, New Jersey, Connecticut and the suburbs of New York it will have a great impact,'' she said. ''It will probably impact about 20 percent of my clientele, and that's a big number.''


Thursday, February 07, 2008 10:24:32 AM
As featured in Forbes Magazine
http://www.forbes.com/realestate/2008/01/22/counties-rich-income-forbeslife-cx_mw_0122realestate_slide_9.html?thisSpeed=15000

Thursday, February 07, 2008 12:16:47 PM
Pending Home Sales

By Alan Zibel, AP Business Writer
U.S. Pending Home Sales Fall in December to Second-Worst Number on Record, Industry Data Show

WASHINGTON (AP) -- Industry data released Thursday show pending U.S. home sales fell 1.5 percent in December to the second-lowest reading on record, another indication that the housing market is worsening.

The National Association of Realtors said its seasonally adjusted index of pending sales for existing homes fell to a reading of 85.9 from a downwardly revised November index of 87.2. The reading was just short of the record low of 85.5 it hit in August, at the peak of the worldwide credit squeeze.

Analysts had predicted the index would rise to a reading of 88, according to the consensus forecast of Wall Street economists surveyed by Thomson/IFR.

Typically there is a one to two-month lag between when a buyer signs a home sales contract and the closing of the deal. Sales completed last month and into this month should be reflected in the December reading.

An index reading of 100 is equal to the average level of sales activity in 2001, when the index started.

The Realtors group also lowered its forecast for U.S. existing home sales this year. It now projects sales will fall to 5.4 million, down from 5.7 million in 2007.



Thursday, February 07, 2008 3:34:31 PM
A booming real estate market!
January 28, 2008

With a Whisper, Cuba’s Housing Market Booms

HAVANA — Virtually every square foot of this capital city is owned by the socialist state, which would seem sure to put a damper on the buying and selling of property.

But the people of Havana, it turns out, are as obsessed with real estate as, say, condo-crazy New Yorkers, and have similar dreams of more elbow room, not to mention the desire for hot water, their own toilets and roofs that do not let the rain seep indoors.

And although there is no Century 21 here, there is a bustling underground market in homes and apartments, which has given rise to agents (illegal ones), speculators (they are illegal, too) and scams (which range from praising a dive as a dream house to backing out of a deal at the closing and pocketing the cash).

The whole enterprise is quintessentially Cuban, socialist on its face but really a black market involving equal parts drama and dinero, sometimes as much as $50,000 or more.

These days, insiders say, prices are on the rise as people try to get their hands on historic homes in anticipation of a time when private property may return to Cuba. Exiles in Miami are also getting into the act, Cubans say, sending money to relatives on the island to help them upgrade their homes.

Officially, buying or selling property is forbidden. But the island has a dire housing shortage, despite government-sponsored new construction. And that has led many Cubans to subdivide their often decaying dwellings or to upgrade their surroundings through a decades-old bartering scheme known in Cuban slang as permuta.

Some of those housing transactions are simple swaps. Those the government permits, tracking each one to keep an up-to-date record of the location of every last Cuban. Many moves, however, are illegal and involve trading up or down, with one party compensating, with money, another party giving up better property.

A 1983 film, “Se Permuta,” portrays how complex the system can get: A mother scheming to get her daughter away from a boyfriend she dislikes organizes a multipronged property swap. Of course, the deal, which would have involved about a dozen people and taken mother and daughter from a tiny apartment into a spacious colonial-era house, ends up in a mess, as does the mother’s meddling in her daughter’s love life.

“It’s very Cuban,” Juan Carlos Tabío, who wrote and directed the film, said of his country’s real estate bartering process. “There aren’t enough houses, and families can’t buy them. So they trade.”

Mr. Tabío has no personal experience with changing homes, having lived in the same spacious third-floor apartment in the well-heeled Vedado neighborhood since 1957. Many Cubans live in the same dwellings their families owned before the revolution; others have been assigned units by the state.

But almost every Cuban is either plotting to upgrade residences or knows someone in the midst of the labyrinthine process.

Here is how it works. Imagine a married Cuban couple with two children and a baby on the way who find their two-bedroom apartment in the historic Old Havana neighborhood too cramped. What are they to do?

Well, with the help of an agent known as a runner they might start by locating a bachelor from the countryside looking to come to the capital. They could arrange for the newcomer to move into a tiny apartment in Chinatown and move its residents — who also have a house in Miramar where their elderly grandmother lives — to a first-floor unit they sought in Central Havana. The Central Havana flat is available because the residents have divorced; so the former wife would go to the bachelor’s country house, near where her parents live, while her former husband would go to Old Havana. The Old Havana family that started the whole process would then head to their dream house in spacious and quiet Miramar.

Sound complicated? It is. And the government adds even more hurdles by trying to regulate the swaps with a variety of forms and fees as well as inspections of the properties involved to ensure that they are of roughly equal value.

All trades have to be endorsed by the government, but Cubans say slipping money to bureaucrats increases the chances that deals of unequal properties — as in those that involve money and carry the taint of capitalist yearning — will be approved.

“Under the table, there are all sorts of things going on,” Mr. Tabío said.

The Cuban authorities occasionally make busts, but find the trades difficult to control.

“It’s something people shouldn’t do, but they do and we know it goes on,” said José Luis Toledo Santander, a professor of law and a member of the National Assembly. “It’s like saying you have to stop at the red light and you can’t go until it’s green. You ought to do it, but not everybody does.”

The trading occurs in plain sight. Under the watchful eye of a police officer, hundreds of people gather every Saturday under the ficus trees on El Prado, one of Havana’s grand avenues. Some carry cardboard signs describing their units: the neighborhoods, number of bedrooms and whether there are patios, garages, hot water, private bathrooms and gas supplies. Less desirable dwellings use tanks of gas for cooking and require residents to share toilets with others down the hall.

Ricardo Aguiar, 65, who lives in a two-bedroom apartment in the humble Marianao neighborhood with his wife, daughter, son-in-law and granddaughter, is looking for a more spacious place in Vedado, a popular area closer to the center of Havana. “It’s going to be difficult,” he said, scouring the signs on El Prado recently and checking in with the agents who sit on the stone benches trying to make deals.

“I’ve just started looking, but there are people who look for years and then something goes wrong and they never move,” he said.

Nearby, a woman was working the crowd in search of a first-floor apartment near her current third-floor unit in Central Havana so she would not have to climb so many stairs.

“You have your system and we have ours,” she said, identifying herself only by her first name, Alejandra. “I prefer our system. We don’t have mortgages and so we’re not facing foreclosure like so many of you are.”

Alejandra knows about the foreclosure crisis in the United States because her son lives in Florida and is struggling to make his house payments. “I worry about him,” she said. “If he loses his job, he’ll lose his home.”

Property is sometimes seized in Cuba as well, but by the government, not the bank. Property is taken from those who hop on boats to Florida, although most switch their houses to relatives’ names well before leaving. Those fleeing the island also frequently downgrade their accommodations before going into exile, trading big places for small ones and using the money exchanged on the side to pay for their voyages — the Cuban equivalent of a home equity loan.

Although it is not clear how many thousands of swaps take place annually, some of them involve the same people again and again, as in the case of a woman in her 60s who said she had moved 42 times over the last two decades. “I love to move,” she said. “I can’t live in the same place for a year.”

But her movement is about more than seeking new surroundings. She fixes up each place, then turns it over for a profit, she said in a low voice, declining to be identified out of fear that the authorities might catch up with her.

Moving through the crowd with her is a learning experience. She knows the regulars and can spot the deals. When money is discussed, she and the person she is negotiating with fall into whispers.

“There are so many liars here,” she said, surveying the crowd. “They say they have the best place in Havana, and you get there and you don’t even want to go in. I just stop at the door and say, ‘No, thanks.’ ”

She said she used money sent from relatives who fled to Miami years ago to keep her business going.

“It’s a good time to invest,” she said. “If you have family outside, $20,000 is nothing, and you can get a good place here. If change comes, and we all expect it, then you’re set.”

That is the philosophy of another mogul in the making, who also declined to be identified by name.

Standing in the living room of a two-bedroom apartment in Central Havana that he is renovating, the man estimated its current worth at $20,000, a mint in a country where monthly government salaries can be one one-thousandth of that. If private property ever comes to Cuba, he estimates the price will most likely multiply by five.

Through a complicated transaction, the man recently managed to obtain a historic home in Old Havana that he is also renovating. He said he researched the ownership history of the dwelling because he did not want to find one day that it had been expropriated from an American, possibly leading to a court battle in a post-Castro Cuba. As for his apartment, he rents rooms to tourists, which the government allows.

He is also buying up old chandeliers and other historic furnishings to decorate his units. With most people so desperate for money, he said, he pays next to nothing.

“This is the moment to buy,” he said, referring to Fidel Castro’s illness, talk of change by his brother Raúl and many Cubans’ view that their system, a half century old, will not remain as it is forever.



Wednesday, February 06, 2008 3:31:42 PM
A Chevy Chasian in the London real estate market.
February 6, 2008

In London, the Hunt for a Town House

LONDON

Andrea Chasanow and Nick Gentle picked last summer to search for a house, and that turned out to be a challenging time. Property prices had been booming for years here, but the effects of the global credit crunch were being felt when they saw the house that they wanted and made a bid.

“We were terrified,” said Ms. Chasanow. “I wasn’t sleeping. I wasn’t eating. If you’re a first-time buyer buying at the top of the market, there’s no coming back from that.”

Eventually the couple succeeded in getting the Victorian town house they had sought, in their ideal neighborhood, Primrose Hill. But the search process was rocky, and as it went on, they said, they felt the mood in the market shift. They paid 2.166 million pounds ($4.2 million) for the 2,200-square-foot, five-level house, which needed renovating.

Still settling into their new home, the pair are no longer as anxious about whether their investment will hold its value; they don’t plan to sell for many years. “This is the sort of place we could live in for a long, long time, possibly until we can’t climb the stairs anymore,” said Mr. Gentle, 30, a foreign exchange options trader who works in London.

Ms. Chasanow, also 30, an American who grew up in Chevy Chase, Md., and Mr. Gentle, a Briton reared outside of Birmingham, met in New York in 2003 and moved to Hong Kong soon afterward. They lived there for three years in a rented high-rise apartment that had luxury amenities, including a pool and a concierge, but no charm. “It was like being banished on permanent vacation,” said Ms. Chasanow, a writer who is working on a screenplay. “We could not make it feel like home, no matter what we did.”

Even back then, the couple used to look online at London houses for sale and found one that they loved in Primrose Hill, an upmarket northern neighborhood of mainly terraced houses, about a 10-minute taxi ride from the city center. Although they could not afford to make an offer on that house, they rented near Primrose Hill after moving to London a year and a half ago. “It’s got a little bit of a Bohemian atmosphere, and a really strong neighborhood feel, which we love,” Ms. Chasanow said.

Primrose Hill is cut off from most traffic by Primrose Hill Park, which is adjacent to the village, and Regent’s Park, which is nearby. Its central commercial street, Regents Park Road, is lined with independent boutiques, restaurants and cafes with outdoor seating.

“Primrose Hill retains very much a village-y feel,” said Edward Prickett, an estate agent at the real estate agency John D. Wood, which handled the couple’s purchase. “There are no chain stores here.”

Property in prime areas of London experienced an extraordinary boom in recent years, with values rising 25 percent in 2006 and 26 percent in 2007, according to the real estate agency Knight Frank. As one of North London’s most desirable neighborhoods, Primrose Hill has properties selling for about 1,000 pounds ($1,984) per square foot, said Darryl Jenkins, an office manager at Benham and Reeves, a North London estate agent that operates in the area. Because the neighborhood is small, only 12 to 15 houses come on the market each year, he said.

Last summer, a few months after their marriage, Ms. Chasanow and Mr. Gentle started looking in earnest for one of those houses.

The first place that they fell in love with in early July was a terrace house on a quiet, tree-lined street. Although the house had lost period details, including fireplaces, during a 1970s renovation, it otherwise had “all the requirements,” Ms. Chasanow said, including ample space and a good location.

They were among the first people to view it, but the broker told them that another buyer had already offered 100,000 pounds more than the advertised price of 2 million pounds ($4 million). Ms. Chasanow and Mr. Gentle bid 2.15 million pounds ($4.3 million) and were rejected, and then increased their offer to 2.175 million pounds ($4.35 million) and were accepted.

Thrilled with the deal, they found a surveyor and a lawyer, but about two weeks later, the agent called to say they had been “gazumped,” a common term in British real estate that means someone had outbid them. They no longer had the house.

“We were just devastated,” Ms. Chasanow said.

After a vacation, the couple started looking again in August. By now, worries about the subprime crisis in the United States had started to affect confidence in the market, they said. Agents whom they had not been able to get on the phone a few months earlier were suddenly barraging them with text and e-mail messages.

Among the new listings was a terrace house in Primrose Hill advertised for 2.1 million pounds ($4.2 million). On a dead-end road off of Regents Park Road, the house was about the same size as the one they had lost, but its fireplaces and original moldings were intact. Initially they bid 2.15 million pounds ($4.3 million) and were rejected. Then, in a sealed-bid auction, they offered 2.177 million pounds ($4.34 million) and were surprised to find that they had won.

“We never thought that we’d get it,” Mr. Gentle said. “Because of the experience trying to get the other house, we felt we didn’t have a chance.”

Their elation was dampened, however, when they went to get their mortgage, which had been agreed to in principle a few months earlier. Because of the downturn in the market, their mortgage broker had raised the interest rate by nearly half a percentage point.

“That was upsetting,” Mr. Gentle said. “We’d maxed out in the sense that we’d done our calculations and knew what we wanted to spend and we did not want to go over it.”

The couple decided to take advantage of the same flexibility in the system that had cost them their first house. With their offer accepted, they asked the owner for a discount, or, in local lingo, they “gazundered.”

“It’s the flip side of gazumping,” Ms. Chasanow said. “It’s not considered very nice. It’s just the way things are done in England.”

In the end, the owner agreed to take 11,000 pounds ($22,000) off the price, a fraction of the final cost but enough to ease the couple’s fears.

“It made us less angry about the mortgage,” Ms. Chasanow said.

After closing on the house in November, the couple moved in December. They made a few changes — painting a few rooms and damp-proofing the basement — but have substantial work left to do. Old carpet still covers the stairs and ground floor. The patio garden is overgrown, and the basement needs paint and some repairs.

To make better use of the space, Ms. Chasanow and Mr. Gentle plan to change the house’s layout. For instance, the want to remake the basement — now a separate one-bedroom apartment — into a kitchen and dining room. They also want to expand the small attic bedroom, and replace the steep windy staircase leading to it with a wider one. Redoing the bathrooms is a priority; they have two and a half bathrooms, including the one in the basement, but none have showers.

“It’s a little weird to spend all this money and not be able to take a shower,” said Ms. Chasanow, who acknowledged that she felt some sticker shock at the scale of London house prices. But finding a place to renovate was always part of their plan. “We really wanted a house that we could put our mark on,” she added. “We didn’t want to pay for anyone else’s taste.”

Although the credit crunch — and resulting higher interest rate — has cost them in monthly mortgage payments, Ms. Chasanow and Mr. Gentle said that their timing was fortunate. If the market had not cooled, they believe they would have been outbid again. “I think because of the credit crunch, people hung back and said, ‘We’ll see where it will go,’” said Mr. Gentle.

Moreover, they now are pleased that they lost the bidding war for the first house, since they like the house they bought much better. “We’ve thought about sending the people who ‘gazumped’ us flowers,” Ms. Chasanow said.


Friday, February 01, 2008 4:35:40 PM
Montgomery County News
Mapping Home Prices in Montgomery
How County Zip Codes Measure Up in National Real Estate Downturn

By Steve Hendrix
Washington Post Staff Writer
Thursday, January 31, 2008; GZ01

In Montgomery County, how badly you are feeling burned by the real estate downturn has a lot to do with the Zip code in which you live.

In Rockville, for example, the average price of existing homes in the 20853 Zip code, an eastern stretch of the city along Norbeck Road, fell more than 17 percent in the fourth quarter of last year, compared with the same period in 2006, according to data from Metropolitan Regional Information Systems, which tracks home sales in the area.

But just a few miles away, in Rockville's more central 20850 Zip code, the average price rose 12 percent.

"There is a lot of granular difference in the county," said Stephen Fuller, a professor at George Mason University's Office of Housing Policy Research. "Montgomery is actually doing pretty well overall, but it does have these pockets of softer market conditions."

Although not suffering the collapse of home prices seen in some outlying Northern Virginia counties, Montgomery is experiencing a slowdown, according to real estate agents and market data. Countywide, home prices in Montgomery slipped about 4 percent in the third quarter of 2007, compared with a drop of almost 8 percent in the greater Washington area, according to the Case-Shiller Home Price Index.

But within that overall decline are huge market differences, Fuller and other analysts say, with the greatest disparity having to do with distance from the Capital Beltway. The older neighborhoods closer to Washington have tended to fare better than the once-booming new-house developments upcounty.

"Bethesda, Silver Spring, those areas are still pretty good markets," Fuller said. "Farther out, Germantown, Gaithersburg, there are just fewer and fewer people interested in those markets, and they've had to cut their pricing."

A countywide analysis by Fuller's office shows that the average sale price of existing homes in the several Zip codes of the Bethesda-Chevy Chase area fell 3.5 percent in the fourth quarter of 2007, compared with the same period in 2006, from $894,125 to $862,712.

In Damascus, by contrast, at the county's outermost stretch of Interstate 270, the average house price fell more than 14 percent, from $427,416 to $367,298.

"It has been like two different markets," said Phil Kelly, a Remax broker based in Gaithersburg. "The upper part of the county was hitting the doldrums much earlier than the lower part of the county. We've seen more oversupply of homes, falling prices. It's only in the last three or four months that what we've been experiencing for a while is catching up in the lower part of the county."

Kelly said it has taken time for some sellers, who remember the bidding wars and hot markets of recent years, to come to terms with the new conditions.

Larry and Dianna Long are a case in point. The retired couple priced their 30-year-oldMontgomery Village house at $525,000 in May, still thinking in good-old-days terms. They received few visits from would-be buyers and no offers over the summer, and dropped the price to $495,000.

Still nothing.

Finally, sweating over the contract they'd put on a house in Baltimore to be near their daughter, they came down $20,000 more. They received two offers the next day and settled in September. In their part of the county, a house took an average of 68 days to sell at the end of 2006. By the fourth quarter of 2007, it had climbed to 119 days.

"A few years earlier, the house right next to us had sold within a week for more than the asking price," said Larry Long, a retired Labor Department lawyer. "It was painful to realize it wasn't going to sell for what we thought it was worth."

The Montgomery market overall had been showing new signs of life in the summer, Fuller said, with prices stabilizing and inventory falling. But then came the nationwide credit crunch stemming from failing subprime loans. Now, banks are tightening their credit requirements and seeking bigger down payments, putting a new drag on the local market.

"They've almost entirely stopped making jumbo loans [the term for mortgages of more than $417,000]," Fuller said. "It's really difficult to buy a house anywhere in Montgomery County without a jumbo loan."

Although it took Montgomery longer than other parts of the region to experience the slowdown, the county should be among the first to enjoy any future recovery, Fuller said.

"It's strong markets like this that feel the benefits sooner," he said. "You're looking for a leading indicator, Montgomery County is always the best in the state."

 "October, November and December were pretty bad,"  "But two weeks ago, the phones started ringing again. 


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